Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 215.037511 241.711690 271.196300 306.343784 347.280632 393.671206 450.525511
2025-02-16 171.529088 205.962694 247.297657 301.114688 370.130291 456.766370 575.518271
2025-02-23 147.115025 184.135770 230.976506 295.591161 384.013365 503.203779 680.321492
2025-03-02 134.206169 173.854386 226.275910 302.246042 412.264858 570.307541 823.263539
2025-03-09 122.092314 162.625652 218.177223 302.049316 429.469798 622.847281 953.411694
2025-03-16 110.690092 150.866372 207.598189 296.262962 436.606002 660.052069 1065.123575
2025-03-23 102.982702 143.407748 202.116268 296.937262 453.087682 713.675941 1214.739809
2025-03-30 94.815060 134.425190 193.324197 291.149458 457.836280 747.691288 1335.110344
2025-04-06 88.860997 128.176372 187.985753 290.070792 469.975315 795.981374 1493.108814
2025-04-13 81.116049 118.537389 176.457632 277.401569 459.983942 801.686323 1564.285710
2025-04-20 78.979222 117.450061 178.399375 287.681952 492.552732 893.609363 1844.723714
2025-04-27 77.305413 116.924583 181.134878 299.526732 529.535097 1000.774204 2190.819727
2025-05-04 73.372820 112.535706 177.210728 299.275942 543.678371 1064.342507 2453.606450
2025-05-11 68.679410 106.570826 170.139307 292.504627 543.886912 1097.780174 2649.019283
2025-05-18 64.699069 101.523749 164.247737 287.320710 546.603230 1137.309317 2874.404771
2025-05-25 62.827155 99.941005 164.344120 293.732900 575.011402 1243.439333 3336.663830
2025-06-01 60.155963 96.776048 161.309392 293.544160 588.723363 1315.953147 3721.880741
2025-06-08 56.970969 92.499148 155.903824 287.957482 589.294467 1354.565661 4008.256759
2025-06-15 54.850760 89.991192 153.611781 288.608556 604.595566 1436.023548 4485.016987
2025-06-22 52.112600 86.200352 148.615608 283.019797 604.054736 1473.214458 4810.145584
2025-06-29 50.116003 83.653917 145.839650 281.978128 614.674779 1545.212112 5313.157651
2025-07-06 46.969277 78.812570 138.286528 269.741070 595.307033 1523.528687 5403.674352
2025-07-13 46.493679 78.937797 140.534729 279.671110 634.934256 1693.707175 6464.031423